Saddam is being played on Iraqi Teevee. So far he hasn't said anything that proves that this wasn't filmed before the bombs started falling. Just another call for Jihad.

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Blah, blah, blah... Get on with it moustache-boy...

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Ok, now he's naming names of units engaged in action. He specifically named those resisting in Basra. He didn't mention any of the battles that took place in the last day, or the POWs, so this has probably been recorded in the last 48 hours. But he could have probably guessed which units and areas would be involved in combat, so maybe it could have been taped pre-war...

There's still the issue if this is the same guy we saw on the earlier broadcast. He doesn't look the same, but I suppose it's possible. We'll have to wait for further analysis to know for sure.

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All the talking heads on MSNBC are saying it was probably recorded pre-war. Walid Phares said the language Saddam used would make sense if Basra was fully occupied, and not still resisting.

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Conclusion: It's a tape. And an old one. In his speech, Saddam praises the commanders of the Iraqi 51st and 11th divisions, both of which surrendered days ago. That seals the deal. It was taped, probably the day before the bombing began. Saddam's Schroedinger Cat status remains unchanged.